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  • Super User
    see improved growth data for the UK and going forward it is still expected to continue to grow at a faster pace than any of its G7 counterparts There should also be some good news for UK businesses going forward as overseas investment should climb dramatically and many UK companies will spend some of their cash reserves that they have been stockpiling over recent years purely on the fear of missing out on investments It s a quiet day today for financial data with nothing of real significance being released so all eyes will be firmly fixed on Wednesday when we see the release of the latest Bank of England minutes from the last meeting Markets will be firmly focused on whether there was any change in the voting for an interest rate increase from last month s 9 0 vote to leave rates unchanged GBP EUR 1 2625 GBP USD 1 7086 GBP CHF 1 5346 GBP JPY 173 03 GBP AUD 1 8190 GBP NZD 1 9619 GBP CAD 1 8342 GBP ZAR 18 1297 GBP NOK 10 5767 GBP SEK 11 6854 EUR USD 1 3533 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 07 00 EUR German Producer Price Index YoY Jun 0 7 0 8 07 00 EUR German Producer Price Index MoM Jun 0 0 0 2 13 30 USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index Jun 0 21 00 25 AUD RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speech All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold Rates are correct as of 8 00am UK time CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown Read more 18th July 2014 A yo yo week for the pound 18 July 2014 Super User News 0 comment A yo yo week for the pound It s been another strong week for Sterling in the currency markets After initially slipping away from some of its top levels against many of its major counterparts Sterling has recovered back to most of its recent highs and is looking extremely good value at the moment In current market conditions short term covering at these high levels against both the Euro and US Dollar seem very advantageous and look a very good option for a two to three month period Many analysts are still looking for Sterling to push even higher before the end of the year so short term forward purchases look attractive rather than long term coverage Further tension is mounting between the Ukraine and Russia this morning after a passenger jet was shot down yesterday near the Russian border Ukrainian interior minister Anton Gerashchenko laid blame on militant rebels whilst separatists blamed the government This is adding further tension to an already difficult situation This has stretched relations between Russia and the US as the US continues to tighten sanctions GBP EUR 1 2647 GBP USD 1 7103 GBP CHF 1 5358 GBP JPY 173 31 GBP AUD 1 8224 GBP NZD 1 9677 GBP CAD 1 8385 GBP ZAR 18 2908 GBP NOK 10 6089 GBP SEK 11 6827 EUR USD 1 3523 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 13 30 CAD Consumer Price Index YoY Jun 2 3 2 3 13 30 CAD Consumer Price Index MoM Jun 0 0 0 5 14 55 USD Reuters Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Jul 83 0 82 5 15 00 USD CB Leading Indicator MoM Jun 0 5 0 5 All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold Rates are correct as of 8 00am UK time CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown Read more 17th July 2014 Sterling works its way stronger 17 July 2014 Super User News 0 comment Sterling works its way stronger Employment in the UK has returned to record equalling levels with 73 1 in work This has reduced the unemployment rate in the UK to 6 5 which is the best we have seen it since 2008 This is now well below the level that the Bank of England used for guidance when debating when we would see the interest rate rise in the UK Despite unemployment continuing to fall the UK economy doesn t look like it could sustain interest rate increases at present so any rate rise should still be some months away The most interesting point to note was although unemployment is down wages have hardly risen Salaries have increased by roughly 0 3 which is way below the 1 5 level that inflation is currently running at So although the UK s unemployment rate has dropped in reflection it does look as though many workers are willing to accept lower salaries just to keep their head above water Even though the press are highlighting how well the UK economy is performing at present it seems as though it will be a fair while until that filters down to the man in the street The Euro has remained under pressure this week with Banco Espirito Santo still under pressure in Portugal and further pressure mounting on Mario Draghi and the European Central Bank to make changes to monetary policy and possibly introduce quantitative easing As the year progresses look for the Euro to remain under continued pressure and lose further ground against its major counterparts GBP EUR 1 2662 GBP USD 1 7126 GBP CHF 1 5377 GBP JPY 173 82 GBP AUD 1 8274 GBP NZD 1 9703 GBP CAD 1 8380 GBP ZAR 18 2977 GBP NOK 10 6059 GBP SEK 11 6851 EUR

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/itemlist/user/654-superuser?start=420 (2016-04-25)
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  • Super User
    One of the biggest pieces of news to be released yesterday was the change in format to the European Central Banks meetings At present the ECB meets once a month which will change to once every six weeks from the start of next year The ECB will also produce minutes very much like the Bank of England do at present giving a deeper insight into monetary policy and the decisions that have been made The Euro suffered again yesterday as Draghi commented that risks that face the Eurozone were still very real and that should keep interest rates low for an extended period of time Draghi also commented that the option of quantitative easing was still very much on the table for the ECB at the moment With the market being slightly quieter than usual Sterling may give up a small fraction of its recent gains as some investors look to take advantage of recently gained profits and look to crystallise them GBP EUR 1 2612 GBP USD 1 7157 GBP CHF 1 5336 GBP JPY 175 12 GBP AUD 1 8344 GBP NZD 1 9651 GBP CAD 1 8260 GBP ZAR 18 4194 GBP NOK 10 6347 GBP SEK 11 7292 EUR USD 1 3602 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD USD Independence Day 04 40 AUD RBA Assist Gov Edey Speech 07 00 EUR German Factory Orders n s a YoY May 6 3 07 00 EUR German Factory Orders s a MoM May 3 4 All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold Rates are correct as of 8 00am UK time CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown Read more 3rd July 2014 Interest Rate is a Drag hi for Mario 03 July 2014 Super User News 0 comment Daily News Interest Rate is a Drag hi for Mario A busy day today in financial markets as we squeeze a lot in before the US break for a long weekend with it being Independence Day tomorrow Yesterday head of the US Federal Reserve Janet Yellen gave her most significant speech to date and outlined quite clearly that the US would not be raising interest rates anytime soon to combat any bubbles in the market This comes ahead of today s US non farm payroll and unemployment numbers Slightly strange to see these on a Thursday but these have been brought forward because of tomorrows US holiday The Dollar has remained under pressure in recent weeks and data releases don t suggest this will subside anytime soon although as we said yesterday short term upside potential for Sterling may be somewhat limited We will also have the regular ECB Interest Rate announcement today from the European Central Bank The interesting thing will be any comments made by Mario Draghi in the press conference that follows Since lowering interest rates to 0 15 last month there is very little room to manoeuvre now for the ECB so it will be interesting to see if there are any comments with regards to any quantitative easing GBP EUR 1 2558 GBP USD 1 7151 GBP CHF 1 5248 GBP JPY 174 83 GBP AUD 1 8315 GBP NZD 1 9589 GBP CAD 1 8312 GBP ZAR 18 5054 GBP NOK 10 6031 GBP SEK 11 5323 EUR USD 1 3657 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 12 45 EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision 0 15 13 30 EUR ECB Monetary Policy Statement and Press Conference 13 30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Jun 212K 217K 13 30 USD Gross Domestic Product Quarter on Quarter Q1 6 3 6 3 All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold Rates are correct as of 8 00am UK time CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown Read more 2nd July 2014 Start Yellen we re all listening 03 July 2014 Super User News 0 comment Daily News Start Yellen we re all listening Head of the US Federal Reserve Janet Yellen speaks later this afternoon at the International Monetary Fund Markets will closely analyse Yellen s speech to try and determine the possible time lapse between the US ending their stimulus program which is expected to happen late this year and the first possible interest rate increase in the US The US Dollar has substantially weakened over the course of this year which may delight many in the US as a weaker Dollar will only help stimulate the US manufacturing and export sectors Sterling has started July with positive movement continuing the trend it has set from the beginning of this year It could look like gains against the US Dollar will be slightly limited and unwelcome for Sterling in the short term but there is still plenty of upside potential against the Euro as the single currency may come under further pressure in the second half of this year This week is a short one for our US counterparts as the US celebrates Independence Day this Friday on the 4 th July This should give us an interesting couple of days in financial markets before a quiet end to this week GBP EUR 1 2542 GBP USD 1 7153 GBP CHF 1 5222 GBP JPY 174 11 GBP AUD 1 8125 GBP NZD 1 9570 GBP CAD 1 8245 GBP ZAR 18 3553 GBP NOK 10 5750 GBP SEK 11 4833 EUR USD 1 3677 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 10 00 EUR Gross Domestic Product

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  • Super User
    solid commitment shown from the Fed Although some hints of earlier than expected interest rate increases were mentioned the downside was that the rate of interest rate increases would be slower overall This news coupled with US growth forecasts being slashed will weigh quite heavily on the US Dollar short term and although we have again seen the mid rate for GBP USD break 1 7000 it may not hold for long short term and a retracement back under that figure could well be seen before the end of next week Expectations for today could see markets relatively quiet and the larger part of activity in the markets to come towards the back end of next week when we finish the second quarter and first half of this year and some profits are realised from positions currently in the market For those of you that need either Euros and or Dollars and are selling Sterling over the next couple of months you certainly shouldn t be disappointed if you are covering yourself at current levels GBP EUR 1 2532 GBP USD 1 7055 GBP CHF 1 5248 GBP JPY 173 88 GBP AUD 1 8132 GBP NZD 1 9570 GBP CAD 1 8456 GBP ZAR 18 2651 GBP NOK 10 4424 GBP SEK 11 4109 EUR USD 1 3610 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 13 30 CAD Consumer Price Index YoY May 2 1 2 0 13 30 CAD Consumer Price Index MoM May 0 3 0 3 13 30 CAD Retail Sales MoM Apr 0 6 0 1 15 00 EUR Consumer Confidence Jun 6 5 7 1 All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold Rates are correct as of 8 00am UK time CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown Read more 19th June 2014 No rate movement 9 v Interest rate change 0 19 June 2014 Super User News 0 comment Daily News No rate movement 9 v Interest rate change 0 There was no surprise to us yesterday when the Bank of England minutes were released and we saw that the Monetary Policy Committee voted 9 to 0 to leave UK Interest rates unchanged After Bank of England Mark Carneys speech last week at Mansion House many analysts were expecting a surprise from the minutes but it certainly wasn t forthcoming Sterling slipped a little on the news and continued to lose ground against the other majors at an extremely low pace as reality set in that we are still a fair way away from an interest rate increase The US Federal Reserve sent out a mixed message last night that wasn t received well by the market Although the Fed hinted that interest rates may increase at a slightly faster than expected pace next year they also cut growth forecasts in the US to between 2 1 2 3 down from the previous 2 9 estimate The US Fed still remains confident that the recovery in the US was well and truly on track but like many other nations at present they won t be overly disappointed to see their own currency weaken GBP EUR 1 2486 GBP USD 1 7008 GBP CHF 1 5206 GBP JPY 173 13 GBP AUD 1 8058 GBP NZD 1 9506 GBP CAD 1 8404 GBP ZAR 18 1144 GBP NOK 10 2005 GBP SEK 11 2712 EUR USD 1 3621 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 08 30 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision 08 30 CHF SNB Press Conference 09 30 GBP Retail Sales MoM May 0 5 1 3 09 30 GBP Retail Sales YoY May 4 3 6 9 All rates shown are indicative of interbank rates and should only be used for indication purposes only It is important to note that foreign exchange rates fluctuate and that rates may vary depending on the amount and the base currency that is purchased or sold Rates are correct as of 8 00am UK time CentralFX are not responsible for the rates shown Read more 18th June 2014 Hold on a minutes 18 June 2014 Super User News 0 comment Daily News Hold on a minutes Today should be the most exciting day of the week for markets with the release of the Bank of England s Monetary Policy Committee minutes This has been the most eagerly awaited data after Mark Carneys very bullish speech at Mansion House last week Bank of England Governor Carney indicated that interest rates would be increased ahead of market expectations which saw Sterling rally at an extremely quick pace Yesterday was more like Shrove Tuesday with markets being as flat as a pancake ahead of today s data If the data released today shows that the vote to leave interest rates unchanged stands at 9 0 we could well see Sterling drift back from its current highs to lower levels Later on this evening it s the turn of the US Federal Reserve as they announce their interest rate decision which should remain unchanged at 0 25 The more interesting news will come from what is said in the Fed s Monetary Policy Statement Press Conference that follows the announcement GBP EUR 1 2532 GBP USD 1 6975 GBP CHF 1 5270 GBP JPY 173 58 GBP AUD 1 8173 GBP NZD 1 9576 GBP CAD 1 8445 GBP ZAR 18 3831 GBP NOK 10 1989 GBP SEK 11 2671 EUR USD 1 3545 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 09 30 GBP Bank Of England Minutes 09 30 GBP BOE MPC Vote Unchanged 9 9 19 00 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 0 25 19 00 USD Fed s Monetary

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  • Central FX
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  • 11th February 2016 - Rate Rise On Hold
    record unemployment rate last week are still upbeat on the future of their labour market Still a major concern on the global economy is the uncertainty surrounding China No one besides themselves are exactly clear on their currency policy for the CNY and this continues to unsettle global financial markets Yellen added that China the world s second largest economy are a cause for declines in commodity prices and that commodity exporting nations may come under financial stress due to this which could tighten conditions in the US and others further In the Eurozone Greece s stocks have fallen to their lowest prices since 1990 and the nation s banks have lost almost all of its value Greece have many problems and the seriousness is recognised again as they are predicted contraction in the economy for 2016 still have huge debts a lack of competitiveness in the EU and talks are growing of another election GBP EUR 1 2707 GBP USD 1 4405 GBP CHF 1 3942 GBP JPY 160 32 GBP AUD 2 0549 GBP NZD 2 1820 GBP CAD 2 0153 GBP ZAR 23 0530 GBP NOK 12 3499 GBP SEK 12 1733 EUR USD 1 1317 All

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/462-11th-february-2016-rate-rise-on-hold?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 10th February 2016 - Pound to Euro looking to post third monthly loss
    GBP equation and both are advocating for further gains The global equity market sell off is decidedly pro EUR The other reason lies with genuine negativity to Sterling An expected widening divergence in interest rate policy between the European Central Bank s and the BOE was one reason given by sterling bulls for expecting the Pound to reverse its down trend versus the Euro However despite Mario Draghi announcing a review of policy in March and a probable increase in accommodation the Bank of England came up trumps in the negativity department having struck an unexpectedly dovish tone when delivering their all important Inflation Report The UK is simply not seeing enough inflationary pressure to warrant interest rate rises thus instead of divergence taking place between the BoE and the ECB we have actually seen convergence GBP EUR 1 2858 GBP USD 1 4495 GBP CHF 1 4122 GBP JPY 166 25 GBP AUD 2 0432 GBP NZD 2 1780 GBP CAD 2 0105 GBP ZAR 22 958 GBP NOK 12 411 GBP SEK 12 208 EUR USD 1 1262 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 15 00 USD Feds Yellen testifies 15

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  • 9th February 2016 - ZAR weakens as investors seek safe haven assets
    the same today with very little movement predicted due to the lack of important fundamental data releases Looking forward over the rest of the week the first interesting event will commence on Wednesday and follow through until Thursday US FOMC chairwoman Janet Yellen will testify before the House Financial Services Committee in Washington DC During her statement and subsequent press conference traders and investors will be paying very close attention and the market reaction will be dependent on whether the Fed portrays a neutral outlook towards monetary policy and the highly anticipated interest rate hikes The South African Rand weakened this morning as investors rushed to secure safe haven assets based on fears of a global slowdown GBP EUR 1 2902 GBP USD 1 4445 GBP CHF 1 4218 GBP JPY 166 37 GBP AUD 2 0506 GBP NZD 2 1842 GBP CAD 1 0081 GBP ZAR 23 3500 GBP NOK 12 4105 GBP SEK 12 2230 EUR USD 1 1205 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 09 30 GBP MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks 09 30 GBP Trade balance 10 4B 10 6B 23 30 AUD Westpac Consumer Sentiment 3 5 All rates

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/460-9th-february-2016-zar-weakens-as-investors-seek-safe-haven-assets?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 8th February 2016 - In or out, nothing is clear…
    other measures This is one of the latest pieces of research which shows wildly varying potential outcomes of the in out referendum depending on which side of the argument funded the research One thing is clear to many that there is no obvious result and the implications of each outcome is unclear Accountancy firm BDO has warned this morning that UK business confidence is at a three year low They cited the global economic fears the slowdown in China and the EU referendum as the main drivers amongst others The CEO of the largest independent oil trading house Vitol has warned that the price of oil will stay between 40 60 per barrel for the next ten years He said that American fracking and the slowdown in China s growth have caused fundamental shifts especially after OPEC changed their stance from adjusting production to manage prices to production to defend their position in the market GBP EUR 1 3012 GBP USD 1 4511 GBP CHF 1 4411 GBP JPY 169 94 GBP AUD 2 0363 GBP NZD 2 1823 GBP CAD 2 0096 GBP ZAR 23 0755 GBP NOK 12 3957 GBP SEK 12 2565 EUR USD 1 1143 All

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/459-8th-february-2016-in-or-out-nothing-is-clear?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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