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  • 5th February 2016 - BOE pummels rate outlook
    the past few days also lost some of its previous gains To highlight a few key points that were made in the meeting UK growth forecasts were cut to 2 4 from 2 7 in Nov BOE sees a slight pickup in global economic growth BOE sees further slowdown in China s economy over the next three years and it is more likely than not that the next policy change will be a rate increase It will be interesting to see how today s crucial non farm payroll figure which will be released at 1 30pm will influence the market As job creation is an important indicator of consumer spending which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity this data is scrutinised by traders and investors often leading to drastic volatility GBP EUR 1 2975 GBP USD 1 4524 GBP CHF 1 4432 GBP JPY 169 69 GBP AUD 2 0237 GBP NZD 2 1672 GBP CAD 1 9950 GBP ZAR 23 0947 GBP NOK 12 3592 GBP SEK 12 1830 EUR USD 1 1188 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 13 30 CAD Employment Change trade balance unemployment rate 13 30

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/458-5th-february-2016-boe-pummels-rate-outlook?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 4th February 2016 - Sterling Thursday
    confusing markets with their policy guidance The thinking at the Bank is that guiding markets on when they may change policy smooths out the potential for shocks The Bank of England s inflation forecasts have been somewhat poor and therefore the guidance towards interest rates has been too aggressive at times Today s things to look out for are possible downgrades to the inflation and growth profile of the UK economy The U S Dollar lost significant ground on Wednesday after Non Manufacturing ISM in January showed a larger than expected drop A richly priced US dollar was based on the assumption that a forceful US Federal Reserve presented the case for up to four future rate rises in 2016 GBP EUR 1 3132 GBP USD 1 4621 GBP CHF 1 4702 GBP JPY 172 10 GBP AUD 2 0340 GBP NZD 2 1880 GBP CAD 2 0082 GBP ZAR 23 355 GBP NOK 12 505 GBP SEK 12 323 EUR USD 1 1121 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 09 00 EUR ECB President Draghi speech 12 00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase facility Feb 375B 375B 12 00 GBP BoE Interest Rate

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/457-4th-february-2016-sterling-thursday?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 3rd February 2016 - Reforms Revealed
    result above 50 it was the UK s weakest for 9 months David Cameron aims to gain support from fellow Tories as he defends his EU reform package in the House of Commons today The PM is to deliver what he calls a substantial change in how the EU is run and its relationship with the UK European Council President Donald Tusk published the draft deal on Tuesday after 9 months of negotiations with Cameron and this could open the door for a referendum as early as June The Eurozone yesterday achieved its lowest unemployment rate in over 4 years as December s figure was released at 10 4 49 000 new jobs were added between November and December much to the surprise of analysts who were fearing the shaky global economy might halt the decrease in unemployment GBP EUR 1 3227 GBP USD 1 4427 GBP CHF 1 4692 GBP JPY 172 90 GBP AUD 2 0405 GBP NZD 2 1880 GBP CAD 2 0209 GBP ZAR 23 2990 GBP NOK 12 5341 GBP SEK 12 3306 EUR USD 1 0900 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 08 00 EUR Non monetary

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/456-3rd-february-2016-reforms-revealed?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 2nd February 2016 - The Waiting Game
    adding to Dollar weakness Yet further Dollar weakness was underlined by negative comments from Federal Reserve s Vice President Stanley Fischer overnight With the Central Bank seen hiking interest rates in December of 2015 much speculation has surrounded the timing of the next rate move by the Central bank of the world s largest economy although Fed s Fischer was quick to trim market optimism His re iteration that the Central Bank s next step in rate moved remained unclear amid global uncertainty adding that it is too difficult to gauge the impact on the U S economy from recent turmoil in financial markets and uncertainty over China The comments give added support to the notion that the Federal reserve will be very patient and gradual in their ambition to normalize rates which have been at historic lows since the height of the Global recession of 2008 GBP EUR 1 3185 GBP USD 1 4361 GBP CHF 1 4635 GBP JPY 173 28 GBP AUD 2 0334 GBP NZD 2 2112 GBP CAD 2 0135 GBP ZAR 23 005 GBP NOK 12 512 GBP SEK 12 273 EUR USD 1 0913 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/455-2nd-february-2016-the-waiting-game?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 1st February 2016 - More Global Woes
    level for three and a half years This is the sixth consecutive figure showing contraction in the world s second largest economy The Chinese stock market lost a further 3 value in the afternoon session as a result The Greeks will have their reform measures reviewed by their creditors in talks starting today that will likely last a few weeks Greek farmers and self employed marched on Athens and blocked streets in protests over pension cuts Greek creditors the IMF The European Investment Bank and the European Central Bank are insisting that cuts to pensions are implemented as soon as possible as per the terms of the bailout Since 2010 the average Greek pension has been cut by 40 45 and the retirement age has risen to 67 with unemployment remaining at 25 and so the Greeks obviously feel stretched but will be keen to avoid the uncertainty experienced previously GBP EUR 1 3161 GBP USD 1 428 GBP CHF 1 4581 GBP JPY 173 14 GBP AUD 2 0167 GBP NZD 2 2058 GBP CAD 2 0033 GBP ZAR 22 7814 GBP NOK 12 3863 GBP SEK 12 228 EUR USD 1 0844 All rates are indicative of interbank

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/454-1st-february-2016-more-global-woes?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 29th January 2016 - Brexit concerns and strong GDP data
    passes as analysts believe voters will probably vote for the status quo and the U K will remain in the European Union Post referendum Sterling will experience a resurgence as the major black cloud hanging over it evaporates In addition its true fundamentals will shine through which are that it is currently undervalued and that such low rates coupled with low unemployment make an argument for potential inflationary pressures and a bank rate rise Sterling rose strongly after the release of positive GDP data on Thursday prompting questions as to whether this could prove a turning point for the currency The figures showed a positive rise in growth of 0 5 in Q4 which was an acceleration from the 0 4 registered in Q3 nevertheless it was in line with expectations GBP EUR 1 3177 GBP USD 1 4355 GBP CHF 1 4636 GBP JPY 173 50 GBP AUD 2 0192 GBP NZD 2 2053 GBP CAD 2 0117 GBP ZAR 23 1506 GBP NOK 12 3861 GBP SEK 12 2300 EUR USD 1 0888 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 10 00 EUR Consumer Price Index YoY Jan 0 4 0 2

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/453-29th-january-2016-brexit-concerns-and-strong-gdp-data?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 28th January 2016 - Further Fed hikes are heavily data dependent
    the balance of risks to the outlook Prior to this there wasn t any expectation for Greenback volatility as it wasn t followed by a press conference as usual In other news South Africa s Rand has strengthened over the last few hours This comes after the U S Federal Reserve kept interest rates on hold and sounded cautious on the outlook giving investors leeway to put money back into emerging markets Traders and investors are awaiting the first estimate for UK Q4 GDP this morning which will be closely eyed as it s an important indicator for the health of the domestic economy Unemployment and durable goods figures for the US are released this afternoon at 13 30 both of which will be scrutinized and have potential to push the market GBP EUR 1 30958 GBP USD 1 4250 GBP CHF 1 4494 GBP JPY 169 58 GBP AUD 2 0158 GBP NZD 2 2095 GBP CAD 2 0065 GBP ZAR 23 2410 GBP NOK 12 3325 GBP SEK 12 1540 EUR USD 1 0890 All rates are indicative of interbank rates GBP EUR GBP USD EUR USD 09 30 GBP Prelim GDP q q 0 5 0 4

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/452-28th-january-2016-further-fed-hikes-are-heavily-data-dependent?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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  • 27th January 2016 - Another Interest-ing Day
    largely on what was said at the end of 2015 and so today s meeting will likely carry a lot of volatility as analysts look to pick up fresh hints and clues Deutsche Bank are the latest significant new member of the anti Brexit fanfare stating that it would be devastating for the EU Their chief economist said that should a Brexit occur Europe would be relegated to second rank status and went on to mention that the levels of uncertainty would likely lead to a serious slow down in the UK economy Reading between the lines of a lot of the companies speaking up against the Brexit a lot of the focus seems to lie on the effect on Europe It could be the case that although the referendum will inevitably lead to heightened uncertainty for both the UK and Europe the biggest consequences of the referendum will likely be in Europe GBP EUR 1 3185 GBP USD 1 4315 GBP CHF 1 4567 GBP JPY 169 23 GBP AUD 2 0363 GBP NZD 2 2062 GBP CAD 2 0229 GBP ZAR 23 5086 GBP NOK 12 4674 GBP SEK 12 227 EUR USD 1 085 All rates are

    Original URL path: http://www.centralfx.co.uk/component/k2/item/451-27th-january-2016-another-interest-ing-day?tmpl=component&print=1 (2016-04-25)
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